Sunday, November 29, 2009

Third Industrial Revolution





The concept of a Third Industrial Revolution, i.e. the idea that we are entering a period in history, in which we need to restructure the oil-dependent energy system and counter the consequences of climate change was put forward by the American economist, “professional protester” and president of the Foundation on Economic Trends Jeremy Rifkin.



Rifkin puts reminds that when new energy regimes converge with new communication regimes groundbreaking economic changes occur, e.g. the combination of coal powered steam technology and the printing press in the 19th century. The IT and renewable energy technologies have in this sense the potential to initiate a new sustainable economic structure

The four pillars of this Third Industrial Revolution are:

  1. Renewable energy
  2. Buildings as positive power plants
  3. Hydrogen storage
  4. Smart grids and Plug-in Vehicles

In “Leading the Way to the Third Industrial Revolution and a New Social Europe in the 21st Century”, Rifkin praises the leading role of the EU in making renewable energy investments and creating jobs in this sector. (Europe has pledged to reach 20% energy supply of renewables by 2020.) Since buildings are “the major contributor to human induced global warming”, reforming the infrastructure is a an essential tool or reducing energy use. Commercial and private buildings can be converted into “positive power plants”, which generate energy from sun, wind, ocean tides and waves, etc. on their own.

In order to make renewable energy reliable, energy from infrequent sources needs to be converted and stored. The hydrogen technology offers a viable solution to the storage problem. The forth pillar in the Third Industrial Revolution Master Plan foresees that the existing internet lines across Europe are used for the implementation of the European power grid. This smart grid will be bi-directional: allowing households and firms to produce their own energy, sell it in times of excess and buy in times of shortage. It would be then possible to measure energy use in peaks and lulls and also adapt the price, which would induce further energy saving incentives.

What Rifkin seems to be condemned for his criticism of meat consumption and warnings about the use of GMO technology as well the implementation of other untested technologies. This has led the Time calling him “the most hated man in science”. The United States definitely needs a critic like Jeremy Rifkin, who would point out environmental and justice problems, especially in times when genetical engineering has gained a sense of normality. 

Europeans are sometimes skeptical about his American ways (maybe implying his open and outspoken public speaking that they interpret as lack of modesty). His straightforwardness and clarity is however something we can all learn from. His useful insights on Europe remind of the challenge in maintaining the previous standard of living, advancing Europe’s energy security and establishing a business model that conforms with the sustainability goals.

3 comments:

  1. hej willy,

    theese are ideas are pretty amazing especially regarding the usage of internet lines, but i am pretty confused about the relevance of theese suggestions, does mister rifkin have any offical recognition in theese reforms or are they rather intended as general tips for dealing with the energyproblem?

    thanks, siri

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  2. Yes, this is the question. The technology for all of these four pillars does exist, yet making it commercially viable is the biggest problem.

    Checking a couple more of Rifkin's articles, I realise he is trying to promote the Third Industrial Revoltion to ordinary people, even those, who have no idea about the climate science and it is essential, because we are lacking exactly awareness amongst the people.

    If we want to look at the scientific side and what the policy goals should be, then let's look at the the International Energy Agency..

    The IEA has released a report in October '09, which describes how the energy sector can contribute to emission reductions consistent with a 450 ppm (parts per million concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere):

    The report analysis the current situation and makes suggestions on what what investments should be made in order to achieve the reduction targets.

    http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2009/climate_change_excerpt.pdf

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  3. The problem is that Rifkin's playing favorites.Back in the
    1980's when Biotechnology was emerging,Rifkin was opposed to it.He tried to stop it with lawsuits,protests
    and demonstrations.He raised concerns and issues with using this new technology.But now,with his Third
    Industrial Revolution,Rifkin's doing the exact opposite.
    He's rushing people to switch to renewable energy.The
    problem is that he's not raising concerns or issues with
    it like he did with Biotechnology.He's not questioning
    the safety of hydrogen storage or the reliability of solar
    panels.Rifkin's in favor of renewable energy so he's not
    going to listen to any problems or complaints about it.
    He's not going to take legal action against companies
    making defective solar panels and hydrogen storage
    tanks.

    ReplyDelete